bjstrat.net HOME

The table below shows the exact points at which insurance EV >= 0 using the KO counting system for 6 decks. The table was derived using a weighted average of all the possible subsets given the listed player 2 card hand and allowing for dealer's up card of ace. It was compiled using only running counts at all possible penetrations. At the end of the table there is a true count conversion approximation. It is assumed the initial running count = -24.

6 Deck Insurance - KO Count [L=(2,3,4,5,6,7): Tag = -1] [M=(8,9): Tag = 0] [T=(10): Tag = +1] [A=(Ace): Tag = +1]
Hand Run Count Insure when this many cards remain in deck True Count Ref
L-L -4 236-279 -0.88 to -0.75
" -3 172-288* -0.91 to -0.54
" -2 >=115, 288* -0.90
" -1 >=60 -0.86
" 0 2. 4, 6, 8, >=10 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
L-M -5 253-277 -1.03 to -0.93
" -4 195-288* -1.06 to -0.72
" -3 >=145, 288* -1.08
" -2 >=98 -1.06
" -1 >=51 -1.02
" 0 2, 4, 6, >=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
L-T -3 195-280 -0.80 to -0.56
" -2 128-285* -0.81 to -0.36
" -1 >=66, 285* -0.79
" 0 2, 4, 6, 8, >=10 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
L-A -6 259-277 -1.20 to -1.13
" -5 207-288* -1.26 to -0.90
" -4 >=165, 288* -1.26
" -3 >=124 -1.26
" -2 >=83 -1.25
" -1 >=43 -1.21
" 0 2, 4, 6, >=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
M-M -5 211-288* -1.23 to -0.90
" -4 >=168, 288* -1.24
" -3 >=126 -1.24
" -2 >=85 -1.22
" -1 >=44 -1.18
" 0 2, 4, 6, >=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
M-T -4 218-279 -0.95 to -0.75
" -3 160-285* -0.98 to -0.54
" -2 >=107, 285* -0.97
" -1 >=55 -0.95
" 0 2, 4, 6, 8, >=10 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
M-A -6 220-288* -1.41 to -1.08
" -5 >=182, 288* -1.43
" -4 >=145 -1.43
" -3 >=110 -1.42
" -2 >=74 -1.41
" -1 >=39 -1.33
" 0 2, 4, 6, >=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
T-T -3 242-251 -0.64 to -0.62
" -2 146-278 -0.71 to -0.37
" -1 75-282* -0.69 to -0.18
" 0 2, 4, 6, 8, >=10 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
T-A -5 228-279 -1.14 to -0.93
" -4 178-285* -1.16 to -0.73
" -3 >=133, 285* -1.17
" -2 >=90 -1.16
" -1 >=47 -1.11
" 0 2, 4, 6, <=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
A-A -7 227-288* -1.60 to -1.26
" -6 >=193, 288* -1.62
" -5 >=160 -1.63
" -4 >=129 -1.61
" -3 >=97 -1.61
" -2 >=65 -1.60
" -1 >=34 -1.53
" 0 2, 4, 6, >=8 -----
" +1 Always insure -----
* denotes an even (EV = 0) insurance bet for the referenced number of remaining cards

Worst case true count approximations

	L-L Insure if TC >= -0.86
L-M Insure if TC >= -1.02
L-T Insure if TC >= -0.79
L-A Insure if TC >= -1.21
M-M Insure if TC >= -1.18
M-T Insure if TC >= -0.95
M-A Insure if TC >= -1.33
T-T Insure if TC >= -0.69
T-A Insure if TC >= -1.11
A-A Insure if TC >= -1.53

bjstrat.net HOME